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Signals still favour investing in shares

Stick with shares and trust in Tips
Signals still favour investing in sharesPublished on January 6, 2025
  • Inflation beast spells risk for bonds
  • Gold remains a useful diversifier

Post-mortems for the vanquished and serious reflection for the badly mauled – 2024 was a year when many incumbent governments faced a reckoning at the polls. Whether ruling parties styled themselves as left or right of centre, if there was one unifying theme it was the cost-of-living crisis stoking popular discontent.

The devastating impact of inflation is also a two-pronged headache for investors. Ultimately, the slow march of rising prices destroys the value of cash, a fact that provides the rationale for accepting investment risk (which has upside) to out-run the guaranteed loss if you do nothing. In the short-term,  however, the volatility in financial markets caused by interest rate expectations vacillating on the shifting sands of inflation data heightens the risk of nasty mark-to-market falls in portfolio value.

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